SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.06% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 62.81% | 18.12% ( -0) | 19.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 67.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.9% | 26.09% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.67% ( 0) | 46.32% ( -0.01) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.85% | 8.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0) | 28.57% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0) | 26.11% ( -0) |
