Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.