Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.24%) and 1-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.