Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 1-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.