Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.