SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Norwich City Under-23s |
| 44.67% | 23.03% | 32.31% |
| Both teams to score 63.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% | 37.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% | 17.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.63% | 47.37% |
| Norwich City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Norwich City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.18% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.31% |
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