Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.