SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Stoke City Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
53.56% ( 0.84) | 19.93% ( -0.17) | 26.52% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 71.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.23) | 25.64% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.3) | 45.75% ( -0.3) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( 0.29) | 10.12% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% ( 0.66) | 33.31% ( -0.66) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.27) | 20.43% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( -0.43) | 52.88% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.95% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.52% |
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