SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 82.63%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 5.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 82.63% | 11.68% | 5.69% |
| Both teams to score 44.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.91% | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% | 53.69% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.26% | 5.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 77.86% | 22.14% |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.36% | 52.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.58% | 86.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 12.34% 3-0 @ 11.76% 1-0 @ 8.63% 4-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.55% 4-1 @ 5.4% 5-0 @ 4.81% 5-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.42% 6-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.73% 6-1 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 0.99% 7-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.89% Total : 82.62% | 1-1 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 3.02% 2-2 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.58% Total : 11.68% | 0-1 @ 1.94% 1-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.69% |
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