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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Mansfield
6 - 3
Newcastle U21s

Johnson (16', 53', 70' pen.), O'Toole (45+2'), Sinclair (78' pen.), Caine (90+2')
Ward (41'), Rawson (57'), Caine (71')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stephenson (5'), White (23'), Ndiweni (90')
Young (39'), Langley (77'), Ndiweni (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 82.63%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 5.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
82.63%11.68%5.69%
Both teams to score 44.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.91%32.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31%53.69%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.26%5.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.86%22.14%
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.58%86.42%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 82.62%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 5.69%
    Draw 11.68%
Mansfield TownDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.34%
3-0 @ 11.76%
1-0 @ 8.63%
4-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 7.55%
4-1 @ 5.4%
5-0 @ 4.81%
5-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.42%
6-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.73%
6-1 @ 1.47%
5-2 @ 0.99%
7-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 82.62%
1-1 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 3.02%
2-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 11.68%
0-1 @ 1.94%
1-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 5.69%

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