SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.31%) and 2-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
36.09% ( -0.39) | 21.01% ( -0.63) | 42.9% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 73.08% ( 2.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.21% ( 3.16) | 25.79% ( -3.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.05% ( 3.97) | 45.95% ( -3.96) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( 1.26) | 15.76% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% ( 2.28) | 44.88% ( -2.27) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( 1.63) | 13.25% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.98% ( 3.2) | 40.02% ( -3.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.63)2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.32)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.33)0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.3)3-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.15)2-5 @ 1% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.21% Total : 42.9% |
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