Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.6%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
