Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
