SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 38.35% | 24.76% | 36.89% |
| Both teams to score 58.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% | 44.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% | 66.89% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% | 23.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.14% | 56.86% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% | 23.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.02% | 57.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.89% |
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