Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
