Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 21.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
