Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.