Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.