Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.