Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
