Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
