Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
West Brom

Milivojevic (37' pen.)
Eze (53'), van Aanholt (90+1'), Cahill (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Furlong (36')

Cahill wants Palace to push forward after win over West Brom

Milivojevic supports Zaha over decision not to take the knee

Sam Allardyce insists West Brom need to win "six out of nine"

Wilfried Zaha becomes first Premier League player to not take knee

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
34.63%	28.62%	36.75%

Both teams to score 45.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.46%

60.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.35%

80.64%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08%

32.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5%

69.5%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45%

31.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06%

67.94%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 34.62%

West Bromwich Albion 36.75%

Draw 28.62%

Crystal Palace	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.62%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.75%