Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
