SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Burnley |
| 41.1% | 28.17% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 46.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.38% | 59.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.05% | 79.95% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.69% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.72% |
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