Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 7, 2021 at 7.15pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Bale (25', 49'), Kane (52', 76')
Doherty (90'), Vinicius (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Benteke (45+1')
Ayew (29'), Cahill (35'), Riedewald (48')

Kane, Son break Premier League goalscoring record

Tottenham's goal tally for season now only bettered by Bayern

Mourinho delighted with quality of Tottenham's attack

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Crystal Palace
73.42%	17.2%	9.37%

Both teams to score 42.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8%

67.19%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29%

10.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.38%

34.62%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05%

51.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.03%

85.96%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 73.42%

Crystal Palace 9.37%

Draw 17.2%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 13.88% 1-0 @ 12.42% 3-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 5.78% 4-1 @ 3.79% 5-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 73.42%	1-1 @ 8.14% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.2%	0-1 @ 3.64% 1-2 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.37%