Premier League | Gameweek 3

Sep 28, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Aston Villa
41.59%	25.93%	32.48%

Both teams to score 53.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5%

50.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57%

72.43%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68%

58.32%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Score Analysis

Fulham 41.59%

Aston Villa 32.48%

Draw 25.93%

Fulham	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.48%