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FL
Premier League | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
AL

Fulham
0 - 3
Arsenal


Hector (26'), Cairney (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lacazette (8'), Magalhaes (49'), Aubameyang (57')
Aubameyang (39'), Bellerin (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawArsenal
40.68%24.58%34.75%
Both teams to score 58.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06%43.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67%66.33%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25%54.75%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73%59.28%
Score Analysis
    Fulham 40.68%
    Arsenal 34.75%
    Draw 24.58%
FulhamDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 8%
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.75%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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