Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
