MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 10:45:27
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Elland Road
Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Podence (6')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
47.25% (0.22 0.22) 27.65% (0.332 0.33) 25.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-1.319 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.65% (-1.463 -1.46)60.35% (1.464 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5% (-1.12 -1.12)80.5% (1.123 1.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.55300000000001 -0.55)25.64% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.76 -0.76)60.53% (0.762 0.76)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (-1.318 -1.32)40.22% (1.32 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (-1.221 -1.22)76.85% (1.222 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 47.25%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.03% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.31% (0.554 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.1%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds
Friday, July 22 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Leeds
Sunday, July 17 at 5.35am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Leeds
Thursday, July 14 at 10.45am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Blackpool 0-4 Leeds
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, July 30 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Besiktas
Saturday, July 23 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Levante 2-1 Wolves
Thursday, July 21 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 4-0 Alaves
Wednesday, July 20 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, July 9 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
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