Leicester
4 - 2
Burnley

Barnes (20'), Pieters (50' og.), Justin (61'), Praet (79')
Mendy (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wood (10'), Dunne (73')
Rodriguez (8'), Bardsley (90+1')

Build‑up

Dennis Praet calls on Leicester teammates to keep momentum going

Brendan Rodgers: 'We must remain focused amid strong start'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Burnley
55.13%	24.33%	20.54%

Both teams to score 48.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58%

52.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91%

74.09%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59%

50.41%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82%

40.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19%

76.81%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 55.12%

Burnley 20.54%

Draw 24.32%

Leicester City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.33% 4-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.12%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.54%