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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
MU

Leicester
0 - 2
Man Utd


Evans (68')
Evans (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (71' pen.), Lingard (90+8')
Maguire (9'), Lindelof (63'), Matic (83'), Pogba (90'), Williams (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
35.02%25.64%39.33%
Both teams to score 55.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27%48.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16%70.84%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88%62.12%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16%58.84%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 35.02%
    Manchester United 39.34%
    Draw 25.64%
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.02%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.34%


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