Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
