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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
BL

Newcastle
0 - 3
Brighton


Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
37.1%27.24%35.66%
Both teams to score 50.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67%55.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46%76.54%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25%28.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41%64.59%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38%29.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34%65.66%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.09%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.66%
    Draw 27.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.66%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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