Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.