Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
0 - 1
Chelsea

Alderweireld (50'), Hojbjerg (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jorginho (24' pen.)
Pulisic (79'), Kante (81'), Azpilicueta (88')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Chelsea
29.03%	24.29%	46.68%

Both teams to score 57.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15%

44.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79%

67.21%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24%

28.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39%

64.61%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88%

51.12%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 29.03%

Chelsea 46.68%

Draw 24.28%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.03%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.68%