Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.8%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.
