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SL
EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
CL

Spurs
1 - 1
Chelsea

Spurs win 5-4 on penalties
Lamela (83')
Aurier (59'), Tanganga (61')
FT
(aet)
Werner (19')
Kovacic (45+2'), Jorginho (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%).

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
37.33%24.45%38.22%
Both teams to score 59.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92%43.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52%65.48%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31%56.69%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99%56.01%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 37.33%
    Chelsea 38.22%
    Draw 24.45%
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.22%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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