Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
