Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
