Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
33.01% | 26.06% | 40.93% |
Both teams to score 53.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% | 50.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% | 72.78% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% | 65.05% |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% | 24.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% | 59.05% |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.92% |
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