Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 21, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Wolves

Barnes (35'), Wood (51')
Westwood (36'), Rodriguez (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (89' pen.)
Otasowie (45+1')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
26.62%	27.42%	45.96%

Both teams to score 46.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.31%

58.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.77%

79.23%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.05%

37.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.28%

74.72%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62%

60.38%

Score Analysis

Burnley 26.62%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 45.95%

Draw 27.41%

Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.62%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 13.22% 0-2 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.4% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.95%