Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK

Molineux

Wolves
1 - 1
Newcastle

Neves (38')
Semedo (28'), Neto (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (46')

Lage reveals Boly no-show as he pushes for Wolves exit

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Preston
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Everton	4	-2	2
18	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	-2	1
19	Leicester City	4	-4	1

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Newcastle
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Brentford	4	3	5
10	Newcastle United	3	2	5
11	Fulham	4	0	5

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-2 Newcastle United

With Wolves boosted by their new signings, optimism will be high that they can deliver a positive result in front of their own supporters. However, Newcastle feel like they are on a roll right now, and we expect the Magpies to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
44.17% ( 0.17)	26.16% ( -0.02)	29.67% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

0.02)

52.48% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

0.02)

74.15% (

-0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

0.09)

23.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

0.13)

57.74% (

-0.13)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.09)

32.22% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.1)

68.71% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 44.17%

Newcastle United 29.67%

Draw 26.16%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.67%