Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.