Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.