SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 35.45% | 27.04% | 37.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% | 54.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% | 75.92% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% | 29.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.62% | 65.37% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.16% | 63.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.49% |
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