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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Nov 30, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
B

Maritimo
1 - 2
Benfica

Pinho (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pizzi (32'), Everton (51')
Everton (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBenfica
13.31%20.79%65.9%
Both teams to score 44.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14%71.86%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09%47.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.83%83.17%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68%14.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86%42.14%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 13.31%
    Benfica 65.89%
    Draw 20.79%
MaritimoDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.05%
2-1 @ 3.61%
2-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 13.31%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 13.33%
0-2 @ 12.95%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 8.4%
1-3 @ 6.18%
0-4 @ 4.08%
1-4 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-5 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 65.89%

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