Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
