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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 26, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Luz
B

Benfica
2 - 0
Belenenses

Seferovic (6'), Nunez (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Belenenses.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBelenenses
79.02%13.94%7.04%
Both teams to score 43.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18%37.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93%60.07%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.35%7.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.68%27.32%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.17%52.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.46%86.54%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 79.01%
    Belenenses 7.04%
    Draw 13.94%
BenficaDrawBelenenses
2-0 @ 13.35%
3-0 @ 11.44%
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 8.52%
4-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-1 @ 4.69%
5-0 @ 3.78%
5-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.33%
6-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.5%
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 79.01%
1-1 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 4.04%
2-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 13.94%
0-1 @ 2.58%
1-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%


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