Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.