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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
SL

Benfica
3 - 0
Standard Liege

Pizzi (49' pen., 76'), Waldschmidt (66' pen.)
Goncalves (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bodart (49'), Fai (65')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Benfica and Standard Liege.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawStandard Liege
65.22%18.91%15.88%
Both teams to score 57.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.93%36.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.82%58.18%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62%10.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1%33.9%
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24%35.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47%72.53%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 65.22%
    Standard Liege 15.88%
    Draw 18.91%
BenficaDrawStandard Liege
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 7.4%
3-0 @ 7.19%
4-1 @ 4.19%
4-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-2 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.9%
5-0 @ 1.85%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 5.04%
0-0 @ 3.71%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.91%
1-2 @ 4.45%
0-1 @ 3.82%
0-2 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 15.88%


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