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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
V

Maritimo
2 - 0
Vizela

Joel (54' pen.), Guitane (72')
Rossi (25'), Costa (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ofori (35'), Wilson (50'), Kouao (55'), Zohi (90')
Moreira (45+1')

We said: Maritimo 1-1 Vizela

Both sides head into Tuesday's game separated by just one point and three places in the league standings and this makes for an exciting affair. They are both evenly matched on paper and we predict the spoils will be shared in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawVizela
36.97%27.15%35.89%
Both teams to score 50.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04%54.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76%76.23%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54%64.46%
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73%65.27%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.96%
    Vizela 35.88%
    Draw 27.15%
MaritimoDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.88%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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