Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
