Having both gained promotion into the top flight this season, this will be the first encounter between the sides and the game has all the makings of an absorbing contest. Arouca have been solid on home turf this season and we predict they will make use of their home advantage once again and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
