Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
