Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.