Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
